Kongo bribes Ethiopia into a war on Ashanti. At least, it looks like Kongo is the more 'rough and ready' of the two. Ashanti has a turtler's chance of holding out though with a carpet of down-tech units. No composite bows is a bad, bad sign. It may be minimally useful, but Ashanti does have a Naval advantage. Atebubu, with a defense of only 14 and on the wrong side of a river, is in the most danger.
And though we won't see a slide of it today, the Mughals and Tibet are at war -- we're not holding our breath for excitement there.