1: Qocho
Rosay:
Welp we all expected Qocho to enter doomed territory sooner or later, though the likely cause of that doom was always Qocho and not Han. With all due respect to Qocho, they are pulling off a surprisingly decent defense of Quarkhoja, but we don't exactly know how long that will hold. The Han offensive is disorganized to say the least with the Calvary running straight into spearmen and a large amount of units staying closer to the Han core, but the production difference is too significant to ignore. For every horse that Qocho kills, Han can replace it with 5, but for every spearman that Qocho loses, that's a lost unit never to be recovered. Who knows though Han might just make a poorly throughout peace treaty and let Qocho live.
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